In any case, it is clear that immunizing the elderly will save more lives—this is called ‘science.’ It is clear that immunizing people based on racial identity will save fewer lives but satisfy some vague notion of ‘racial justice.’ This is called ‘choosing political favorites.’. The next time he says something is he being straightforward or is he just influencing again? Best estimate is between 1-4% of the spread is from Asymptomatic individuals. That sort of utilitarianism is the calculus of terrorists everywhere. Unless you are claiming you have new studies that show that COVID-19 is explicitly different in how droplets containing the viral matter float through the air? Is the likelihood of being such a superspreader uncorrelated with the likelihood of catching the disease? BMC Pulm Med. About a month ago, he began saying “70, 75 percent” in television interviews. 2007; 135: 392-401. Filme Shows und Serien als Online TV. Factors associated with nosocomial SARS-CoV transmission among healthcare workers in Hanoi, Vietnam, 2003. MacIntyre R Chughtai A Tham CD Seale H COVID-19: should cloth masks be used by healthcare workers as a last resort?. 2004; 189: 642-647, Van Kerkhove MD Alaswad S Assiri A et al. This was 4 years into Trump’s term, so that doesn’t really fly. Everything I believe is justified by facts and evidence. Poynter dot org spreadsheet of superspreader events. His principal responsibility is as a public health administrator. There was a quiet-part subtext there which you didn’t pick up on, but plenty of folks did. Cheng H-Y Jian S-W Liu D-P Ng T-C Huang W-T Lin H-H High transmissibility of COVID-19 near symptom onset. How do you like our word Munch-vellous for marvellous munchies under one roof? Caputo KM Byrick R Chapman MG Orser BJ Orser BA Intubation of SARS patients: infection and perspectives of healthcare workers. He was adamant and absolute. You still have to allow for biases and mistakes and decide WHO you’re going to listen to. But it’s Trump’s fault that he didn’t figure this out! In 1986 Scientific American impeached itself by removing disappearing an article reporting HTLV-III (caught my eye) in mosquitoes in Belle Glade, Florida. There was another guy named Pete Knight who was doing the same thing. Next up is this chocolate number with almond cacao nibs and pink Himalayan salt. Many will die because we don’t have any approved studies, but at least none will die because of studies we approved. 2020; Goligher EC Tomlinson G Hajage D et al. Respiratory virus shedding in exhaled breath and efficacy of face masks. The Chairman’s Bao – Get 10% off any individual subscription by using the promo code “alr10”. SARS-CoV-2 , the virus now causing a global pandemic, is believed to have originated in bats. Makes me yearn for the good old days when Leo Strauss was being lambasted by Liberals for daring to suggest that there was anything to be said on behalf of Socrates ‘noble lie’ in the ‘Republic.’, “I see y’all keep saying their trust has been lost, as though they ever had any to begin with.”. Which means you have to have everyone agree ex ante that they aren’t going to try to take advantage of the crisis to advance their political goals. Without knowing why she did that, Yi Yun Zhai is in his quest to find his true love. The mooncakes come as a bundle with two of TV host Vivian Lai’s cold brew teas from her drinks store Teabrary. Do you support the Democrat Governor lockdown of uninfected people to prevent COVID? Some of the best cookies I ate during Chinese New Year were from Mdm Ling Bakery, so I was pretty eager to try the steamed buns it launched for … Yeah, that’s not what was going on, but you keep your white grievance demonization train agoin’. What he wouldn’t do is tell us he was changing it based on public opinion about vaccines. 12.28.2020 1:40 PM, © 2020 Reason Foundation | Many of the “experts” have squandered their credibility. There were certainly some irresponsible voices out there who were advocating some very bad ideas. Hotel … In the pandemic’s early days, Dr. Fauci tended to cite the same 60 to 70 percent estimate that most experts did. Trump didn’t bother to fix the problem, and he disbanded the Pandemic Response Team. Lack of SARS transmission and U.S. SARS case-patient. I only hope his maker had a sufficiently long memory and looked unfavorably upon opportunistic changes of heart near the end of life.). We’re all a-bao-t our red bean buns aka 豆沙包 aka tao sar pau aka fluffy clouds of molten gooey perfection. But cloth masks don’t work. Our red bean paste is rich and only mildly sweet, which is perfect for all health conscious people! Emerg Infect Dis. If you want to move the goalposts, what line would you draw? A) N95 masks are useful to prevent the spread of the disease, and it was rational to ask people to stop hording them. Nothing changed about the underlying rationale for not advising that everyone wear masks, earlier in the pandemic; they just adjusted their communications strategy and concluded that mask-wearing guidance would achieve more benefits than costs. The obvious difference is more cross-immunity, coupled with no insane desire to test the healthy. Transmissibility of MERS-CoV infection in closed setting, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, 2015. Emerg Infect Dis. It’s quite possible that his lies increased deaths by encouraging people to keep n95 masks unused in their garage without increasing the supply available to first-responders. These people are literally willing to kill in the name of Social Justice. Trump thinks the judiciary cannot be trusted to reveal the massive fraud that he says denied him a second term. 2004; 10: 217-224, Pei LY Gao ZC Yang Z et al. Think of how much better we could all be if you just cured all the scientific misunderstandings the rest of us have. . When the public fails to “follow the science” we call them stupid. Replies. 2019-SARS-COV-2 is genetically different than other coronaviruses, but the physical means of transmission have not changed. You’re straining for causation to prove something that was just explained to you is irrelevant to most typical humans. Physical interventions to interrupt or reduce the spread of respiratory viruses, part 1: face masks, eye protection and person distancing—systematic review and meta-analysis. We liked how the slightly tangy tea contrasted with the chocolate mooncake (the recommended pairing) and made it a little less sweet. ), BlakePaine comment – “Once we knew it was primarily by super spreader events of usually asymptomatic carriers, the benefits of even cloth masks and other exposure reduction strategies became more important.”. 2014; 20: 2148-2151, Heinzerling A Stuckey MJ Scheuer T et al. We reserve the right to delete any comment for any reason at any time. Social distancing will make vaccines less effective too (social distancing increases the average distance between nodes on the connectivity graph – it definitely works, and that decreases the herd immunity threshold for as long as social distancing lasts). Illness in intensive care staff after brief exposure to severe acute respiratory syndrome. Ronald Bailey The rather stupid handling of houses of worship in many places is a good example of how (allegedly) well-intentioned policies can backfire or, at least, create significant secondary problems, if not handled with respect for the affected population. The goal has to be based on some science, not on Fauci’s “feelings” and his reading of when to tell people what they may want to hear. Virologists have known for more than a decade that this category of virus is very sensitive to UV, relatively sensitive to humidity, and only mildly sensitive to temperature: there has been an extensive body of research in this field since the 2003-2004 SARS epidemic. An aggressively mediocre superhero sequel. Enhanced contact investigations for nine early travel-related cases of SARS-CoV-2 in the United States. When one vector can potentially contaminate many vectors this way a higher herd immunity is required to keep the Reinfection rate below 1 over all. Trop Med Int Health. SD is far off its peak. 2020; 323: 1610-1612, Qualls N Levitt A Kanade N et al. The CDC has always been guided by popularity, not science, and has had self-perpetuation, not public health, as its goal. Bắt quả tang ô tô chở 6.600 bao thuốc lá nhập lậu 2 liên quan Bao thuốc lá / Điếu / Nhập lậu / Trần Văn Khá / Nguyễn Trọng Tâm / Ghế phụ / Thuốc lá Ennio Tomasso was the one to do the kick off. 555 cases per million per day. Place bao on the heat proof containers or steaming baskets that you are using to steam. Here’s a look at two of the cold brew teas that are part of the mooncake bundle. Cloth masks have no statistically significant effect in the spread of viral matter, or in the spread of disease. The first thing I said to myself when they said not to wear masks was, “sounds like bullshit to me.”, I have the receipts for the last batch of N95 masks that I was able to buy before they became impossible to find. Burke RM Balter S Barnes E et al. May I point out a third option — someone else who doesn’t lie? Born in the city of Cheng Du in southern China, Bai Ling began her career at age of 14. Muriel Bowser, whose travel to party with the Bidens was so “essential” that she, unlike the proles, didn’t need to obey her own quarantine strictures. Quotes (but read the whole article): … the National Institute for Allergy and Infectious Diseases, the organization led by Dr. Fauci, funded scientists at the Wuhan Institute of Virology and other institutions for work on gain-of-function research on bat coronaviruses. 4) Young but married but still want to use her own maiden sirname - "Mdm" something 5) Young but married but still want to use her maiden sirname but find "Mdm" too old-"Miss" something 6) Middle-Old but are single - Still "Miss" something 7) All used-to-be married - Once "Mrs" something, now … 7.5K likes. At Ling's, these steamed pork dumplings have a little hole on top through which you pour in a soya wine vinegar. Comments do not represent the views of Reason.com or Reason Foundation. In a telephone interview the next day, Dr. Fauci acknowledged that he had slowly but deliberately been moving the goal posts. It’s all about reducing the Reinfection rate below 1 to end a pandemic. There are always unintended consequences, have you factored in life-years into your equation? | While there are many ways to add CSS to HTML, the simplest method of doing … No one was drawing any lines about disease badness. (I wouldn’t…), It’s the story of the little boy who cried “wolf” — and he got eaten…. 2007; 135: 914-921, Reuss A Litterst A Drosten C et al. There is some evidence that East Asians may have some genetic protection against Covid due to millenia of SARS-like diseases. Faucci’s not an expert in logistics or mask distribution, and he had no business lying about their medical efficacy in order to achieve a result he had no business trying to achieve. The folks that are the senior professors and who become principle investigators have done science, but now direct it. It is exactly what was going on, and it’s well documented in the CDC slide deck. Eventually they did close the bathhouses. Bahl P Doolan C de Silva C Chughtai AA Bourouiba L MacIntyre CR Airborne or droplet precautions for health workers treating coronavirus disease 2019?. Reasons to Use CSS External Style Sheet File for HTML Programming. Again and again, those kinds of policies have proved effective, giving public health a long record as a standout among the examples of government success. He is doing so, he said, partly based on new science, and partly on his gut feeling that the country is finally ready to hear what he really thinks….. [H]e believes that it may take close to 90 percent immunity to bring the virus to a halt …. Or will they?? At the outset of this pandemic, this nation had a public health policy which was largely based on that previous work in the public health community. What portion of the population must acquire resistance to the coronavirus, either through infection or vaccination, for the disease to fade away …? So where did the line about moving the number because of public opinion (poll) come from, really? Air, surface environmental, and personal protective equipment contamination by severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) from a symptomatic patient. Du Chinese – Get 10% off any subscription by using the promo code “alr10dc”. Literally none of that which you claim to exist, can you be bothered to actually demonstrate in support of your argument. It was Esper that made that claim. He said: “There’s no reason to be walking around with a mask.”. 2004; 10: 210-216, Yin WW Gao LD Lin WS et al. And of course almost all the the overdoses are under 60, and almost all the covid deaths are over 60. Students of public health techniques have long studied the best ways to win public cooperation for scientifically defined goals. Oh, you read a blog post on a different topic! And this is generally true of medical professionals who try to offer expertise outside their knowledge space. 2005; 73: 17-25, Nishiyama A Wakasugi N Kirikae T et al. Nothing alleged about it. No AIDS in Cuba. Isn’t that what Trump was saying? Vivian Lai opened her mod tea shop Teabrary last September and has since expanded the brand to China, Japan and Thailand. Those kinds of measures would be thrown out by US courts. No, and I’m not sure what possible case Fauci could be making. Places with low mask compliance have higher case and mortality rates per population. In short, your claim can only possibly be made from a position of gross ignorance. There needs to be a goal number, Kevin. The location tracking are much tighter, and the punishments for quarantine violations more severe. Out of curiosity, how many of Reason’s readers know about this? His daughter and her fiance returned to Taiwan, from Vietnam, earlier this month; for two weeks, they must keep their cell phones on and with them at all times, because the government uses that to monitor their quarantine. 2003; 361: 1519-1520, Teleman MD Boudville IC Heng BH Zhu D Leo YS Factors associated with transmission of severe acute respiratory syndrome among health-care workers in Singapore. When college kids went back to school, all 60K of them, there were 5 total hospitalizations. The mayor of Austin, telling “his” citizens to stay home via a call from his Mexican resort. Escalating infection control response to the rapidly evolving epidemiology of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) due to SARS-CoV-2 in Hong Kong. So if we listen to the experts were likely to get ignorant economic policy masquerading as expert medical policy? But the ratio of minorities to whites would be “better”. Again, all show with no substance. And all those curves look the same. 2019; 10: 46-48, Scales DC Green K Chan AK et al. 2016; 22: 880-886, Lau JTF Lau M Kim JH Tsui HY Tsang T Wong TW Probable secondary infections in households of SARS patients in Hong Kong. I think what I’m saying is that I’m less trusting as to things he says than I was at the start. That makes everything different. It wasn’t rocket science for me and many others to recognize the contradiction between “Our healthcare workers need masks” and Fauci’s “No one needs to wear a mask”. C) Asymptomatic carriers are not a significant cause of spread of the disease. 2004; 10: 244-248, Park JY Kim BJ Chung KH Hwang YI Factors associated with transmission of Middle East respiratory syndrome among Korean healthcare workers: infection control via extended healthcare contact management in a secondary outbreak hospital. A Mayo Clinic study using schools found that maintaining 50% humidity reduced influenza cases by a factor of 2.3. Ditto for the various pols saying ‘stay at home’ … from their hotel room in Mexico, etc, etc, etc. Jacob Sullum Since about 40,000 people per year die of influenza, then humidifiers in public buildings would have saved hundreds of thousands of lives over the last decade — incidentally, probably keeping CoVID-19 from becoming a pandemic as a side effect! Epidemiol Infect. And publications from May, June, September, and November are so outdated in the face of new developments in, um, something. If you’re already a fan of Bangkok Jam’s savoury cuisine then you can now stick around to try their dessert menu which also lists tarts, meringue and waffles! SARS transmission in Vietnam outside of the health-care setting. If the little jerk was a lab rat at a research facility or a professor, he would be ignored for being scatterbrained, inconsistent, and opinionated without any references or clinical trial. Dr. Fauci is not primarily a scientist, let alone a pure scientist. I know. In other words, your point is, to this point, a rather stupid one. Minnesota has had fairly tight mask mandates and lockdowns through out the pandemic. Privacy Policy | Now, we’ve seen mooncake boxes that double up as pretty lanterns, but Mdm Ling Bakery’s packaging is one box worth keeping long after the cakes within are eaten up — its packaging doubles up as a Snakes & Ladders board game, but with the usual reptiles replaced with adorable bunnies, cookies, and paus oozing ‘snake-like’ filling. “At the time” doesn’t cut it for Fauci. As a matter of policy and public assurance. There are a lot of experts with a lot of different opinions, and as Dr. Fauci has shown on several occasions, they give opinions based on more than just pure scientific results. We will never know, but I think if some country tried a policy of innoculating everyone under 60 with Covid 19 in batches, then quarantining them until they tested clean, that death tolls would be much lower. I don’t hate Fauci and never have. Science doesn’t have a rock-solid number; when asked for one he picks among the best guesses. Stephen – I detest all of those who have politicized the virus. BMC Public Health. Allegedly evil? How do you know it’s not a fake quotation? Talk about a specific policy that should have been followed but wasn’t because of homophobes’ support, or admit you are wrong on the only two options put forward so far. The OP quotes Fauci as saying “”When polls said only about half of all Americans would take a vaccine, I was saying herd immunity would take 70 to 75 percent,” Dr. Fauci said. Many scientists have criticized gain of function research, which involves manipulating viruses in the lab to explore their potential for infecting humans, because it creates a risk of starting a pandemic from accidental release. The President himself repeatedly urged Americans to flout the public health policy, to make the pandemic worse. We get really squeamish about choosing who lives and dies, even if the utilitarian calculation seems pretty clear. I dunno if I’m one of ‘you guys’, but my default position is to assume people like Fauci and the Surgeon General are competent and trustworthy (as opposed to, say, congresscritters). Of course, vaccination rates will need to be higher – unlike naturally catching the disease, vaccines won’t preferentially target the highly connected nodes, so many vaccinations won’t do anything to slow the spread. Well, they could have shut down the bathhouses…. | You don’t get to say “well my predecessor didn’t fix the problem, so my not fixing it means I don’t have to accept any blame.” Only in Trumptardville does that shit fly. The rates are still magnitudes greater than states that did promote masks and that is shown in the total mortality rates even though California has had a greater problem for longer than South Dakota. Why is ANYONE still listening to him? He eased off at the end of his life, saying he was “ashamed” of how little he had done to combat AIDS and saying the fact that he would soon meet his maker was a reason for his change of position, revealing that he himself thought his prior actions were evil. Lol reduced to this type of crap? Trop Geogr. 2016; 22: 1915-1920, Arwady MA Alraddadi B Basler C et al. 2020; 725138401, Ong SWX Tan YK Chia PY et al. Bevis, for policy guidance on this nation’s public health emergency, who do you prefer, Fauci, or the folks who are trying to sew distrust of Fauci? The primary issue is that cloth masks stop less than 5% of virus bearing materiel even if used perfectly – which, since they don’t have airtight seals, never happens. In any case, this is a moot point. Lose that, and you have nothing to give the client. Respirology. Thanks to Randy Barnett for pointing this out, in a post on a discussion list that I'm on. Obama/Biden depleted the national stockpile of PPE — that’s where it wasn’t. It is the high potential of ‘one to many’ incidences that made universal masks the preferred.p modality. The real scientists are the technicians, and the grad students, and some of the post-docs. $88) Self collection www.mdmlingbakery.com : 89, Peck AJ Newbern EC Feikin DR et al. To help diagnose enrollment or device management issues in Windows 10 devices managed by an MDM server, you can examine the MDM logs collected from the desktop or mobile device. With the appointment of the Hainan government officials, former HNA directors Zhang Ling, Bao Qifa and Chen Wenli have all left their positions, according to an update on the company’s website. Why don’t I have it now?” Was it Fauci who got in the way, or Trump? They got condom use way way up (and this even bleeded into straight people using them more). To break the pandemic the Reinfection rates must be kept below 1. Ryu B Cho SI Oh MD et al. Zoe June 25, 2014 at 1:51 PM. Yes, we all became sheep when the polio and smallpox vaccines were universal – though, uh, turns out both diseases are literally eradicated, practically. Emerg Infect Dis. A randomized clinical trial of three options for N95 respirators and medical masks in health workers. And particularly the media. This blog aside, we’re a Kantian society, not a pure utilitarian one; a policy to affirmatively kill a few to save many doesn’t play well. Wang Q Huang X Bai Y et al. They’re probably getting aerosolized, and masks don’t do a damn thing about aerosolized particles. Der Identifier er ist eine Zahl zur eindeutigen Erkennung der Botschaft. But those are people who develop the disease, and are not asymptomatic carriers. Support for public health measures depends upon the Consent of the Governed, which is being withdrawn slowly but surely. JAMA. The higher the herd immunity the greater chance there will not be a superspreader event. This modestly-sweetened brew was light and refreshing with a floral hint. 2003; 349: 2416-2422, Park BJ Peck AJ Kuehnert MJ et al. That blood is on conservative hands- and you are carrying water for them when you dismiss this as “allegedly evil motives”. . But to do that, you have to actually base your decisions on evidence material to the question you’re answering. He keeps acting as if he can manipulate the public to do what he wants … his job is to report the facts, not be the gatekeeper of information. @ling_kth. It is dishonest politicking. Emerg Infect Dis. 12.29.2020 1:55 PM, Damon Root “Flatten the curve” so as to not overwhelm the hospitals — many of which are now in bankruptcy because they were empty and didn’t get the income from the other stuff they do. He outright mocked mask wearing. Alexander Rei Lo, Actor: Hong men jue e zhe. It is precisely what has been said. This is not science. It would be a truly groundbreaking discovery. If you wish to enjoy them the next day, you should cook them right now then reheat by steaming for 5 mins or so. The trolley car problem makes things clear and certain. Are you a member of Cult45 too? They will be as fresh. True, most of the spread is from coming from superspreader events / individuals. Bored Lawyer not so much. Xiaolongbao (/ ˈ ʃ aʊ l ɒ ŋ ˌ b aʊ /) is a type of Chinese steamed bun from Jiangsu province, especially associated with Wuxi and Shanghai (Shanghai was formerly a part of Jiangsu province). It’s not like there’s just one thing we pick up labeled “Science!” that has all the right answers. Now he lives the life of a trash, being bullied and beaten by those who once were inferior to him. So, your allegedly evil motives bull is just that: bull. Terms Of Use. however, very little of the spread is coming from asymptomatic individuals. The result of that is plain to see—a needless advent of mass sickness and death. Great! We could test such scenarios as a classroom with three infectious individuals and ten more wearing masks, ten more not. If so, I look forward to reading your publication! In China, the two most well-known brands are Taobao and Tmall. Hier finden Sie Ihre Lieblingssendung. Public health is inherently collective, run by government, successful, and popular. The chocolate filling is overpowering and the mooncake in general tastes more like a sugary brownie. Mostly law professors | Sometimes contrarian | Often libertarian | Always independent, Eugene Volokh Here, we'll compare Office 365 MDM vs. Intune to help organizations determine the best fit. Wear a mask, shut up, get in the box car. You can even argue that the gay marriage movement became a bigger priority after the AIDS epidemic. We could look at real life, where we see the virus gets to roughly 20% prevalence and then starts crashing. You treat an emergent pandemic strategically, conserving resources for those that can not mitigate their risk by other factors such as behavior modification. Quote: Recently, a figure to whom millions of Americans look for guidance — Dr. Anthony S. Fauci, an adviser to both the Trump administration and the incoming Biden administration — has begun incrementally raising his herd-immunity estimate. Im HTTP-Protokoll gibt es verschiedene Anfragemethoden (englisch: request methods), die es dem Browser ermöglichen, Informationen, Formulare oder Dateien an den Server zu senden. J Infect Dis. we have a number of examples of super spreader events where 1 individual infected 70%+ of the others attending. You see, Mdm Ling specialises in paus and cookies. At the point where EVERYONE becomes a sheep. initially the masks people were going for were the N95 masks needed by medical personnel and it wasn’t known how COVID spread. Health care worker contact with MERS patient, Saudi Arabia. You guys hated Fauci from the moment he came on the scene, so don’t feed me that nonsense. 12.28.2020 3:25 PM. Oh and 14.7% of South Dakota’s population is over 65, 14.8% of California’s. Alexander Lo won the Taiwan 1978 Tae Kwan do championship, and got into the movie business after his older brother Tong Lung introduced him to director Robert Tai, with whom he most frequently collaborated. Fauci’s statements here aren’t just about changed medical understanding, right?” Correct. C. Asymptomatic infected are the primary vehicle, you are confusing those that never develop symptoms with those who are as of yet asymptomatic because they are in the prodrome of the active disease. We have, to my knowledge, NO controlled testing of the spread of this virus. Not hard to figure out how – avoid potential super spreader events, practice preventative measures to reduce chance of catching and spreading at all times, actively help in tracking contacts of all those found infected by keeping a list of our own contacts and locations. ^^ Reply Delete. Fauci Day” here in DC if we can’t get together in groups to dine and drink to his health? But this opinion switching while admitting he was intentionally misleading is harming his credibility. He’s “nudging up” the numbers in order to elicit a commensurate public response, in terms of diligence with vaccines, social distancing, etc. Do you even know why “The higher the herd immunity the greater chance there will not be a superspreader event” is so wrong? He is a senior public health administrator, forced to operate in an unprecedented political maelstrom. Fauci is a politically correct Democrat hack operative. Risk factors for SARS infection within hospitals in Hanoi, Vietnam. Centralization makes sense only if you ignore differences in local conditions—and trust the feds to make the right choices. “When polls said only about half of all Americans would take a vaccine, I was saying herd immunity would take 70 to 75 percent,” Dr. Fauci said. I’m not quibbling about what his best guess is. Schließ dich Millionen von Zuschauern an und entdecke auch du Inhalte und Ersteller bei TikTok – verfügbar im Web oder auf deinem Mobilgerät. | My estimate has been 85% since early summer. When the scientists make up the science as they go along, it would be stupid to not take what they say with a grain of salt. You need to build trust on these things. Contact investigation for imported case of Middle East respiratory syndrome, Germany. THINK OF THE CHILDREN. But I do know that the science is sufficiently soft and full of opinion as of yet that nothing he’s saying has been a lie. 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